Despatches 6 min read 29 September 2026 DAILY DISPATCH · ISSUE 272

Raytheon's AMRAAM Windfall Drives Global Missile Race

Today's $20.7 billion AMRAAM contract accelerates a 30-day trend of big-ticket missile procurements, setting the stage for a new global arms race.

Sources 13 primary documents
missilesamraamgeopoliticsdefenceprocurementarmsrace

The AMRAAM Avalanche

Raytheon’s AMRAAM program has received a monumental boost today, with a $20.7 billion multi-year contract. This deal, a landmark in defense procurement, signals a significant acceleration in the global arms race. Over the next five years, Raytheon will produce at least 1,900 AMRAAM missiles annually, more than doubling the current production rate. This surge in AMRAAMs is not happening in a vacuum; it’s part of a broader trend that’s been unfolding over the past 30 days.

Missiles: The New Gold Rush

The last 30 days have seen a flurry of big-ticket missile deals. Italy’s €3.7B contract for new DDX destroyers, ORIZZONTE SISTEMI NAVALI’s €3.7B contract for two “DDX” destroyers, and Lockheed Martin’s $1.2B PrSM contract all contributed to a total of over $25 billion in missile-related procurements. Today’s AMRAAM contract alone accounts for nearly half of that total. This is not just a blip; it’s a trend that’s been building, driven by geopolitical tensions and technological advancements.

Geopolitics Fuels the Fire

The increased demand for missiles is no coincidence. Geopolitical tensions in Europe, as evidenced by Russia’s activities, and in the Indo-Pacific, where China’s assertiveness has been on the rise, are driving nations to bolster their defense capabilities. Today’s contract award comes amidst reports of suspected Iranian involvement in a mysterious vessel attack in the Strait of Hormuz, highlighting the region’s volatility. Meanwhile, Russia’s deployment of an unidentified MANPADS further underscores the global race for advanced air defense systems.

What Else Moved

Indonesia’s acquisition of its first aircraft carrier, the former Italian ITS Giuseppe Garibaldi, renamed KRI Sriwijaya, raises questions about its growing naval ambitions. Kongsberg’s $404 million framework agreement for the U.S. Marine Corps’ Naval Strike Missile (NSM) equipment is another significant deal in the naval domain. The U.S. and UK demonstrated interoperability with a live-fire exercise involving the SM-6 missile, further cementing their alliance in the face of global tensions.

FORWARD LOOK:

As the global demand for advanced missiles continues to grow, driven by geopolitical tensions and technological advancements, expect to see more blockbuster deals like today’s AMRAAM contract. Keep an eye on Russia’s military supply networks and China’s expanding influence in the Indo-Pacific as these trends continue to unfold.